There is a commitment from the volunteers not only to rescue, response and recovery efforts but for disaster preparedness and overall process improvement. They are dedicated to improving on their own skills and the system of responding to events to save time and lives. This was evidence in the largest exercise of the year which was also the first of its kind effort in support of Rim of the Pacific, named RIMPAC. For the 2012 RIMPAC exercise 88 volunteers from 20 countries contributed a whopping 1,640 hours of service. Another exercise was Pacific Endeavor which supported a tabletop exercise in which 22 nations participated.
We would like to extend a special thank you to the following volunteers for their many hours of service
Germany – Christoph Dennenmoser, exercise Lead RIMPAC & operations support
Samoa - Dave Leng Team Lead, RIMPAC
UK – Justine MacKinnon –DHN Exercise support, UN SPIDER Conference
New Zealand - Caroline Milligan and the Wellington Emergency Mgt team` - supported RIMPAC
Canada - Melissa Elliott provided critical inputs for programming during RIMPAC
Italy - Eliana Zemmer – staffing and credentialing support, and Italian translation support (Posthumously)
India - Avi Sharma – Pacific Endeavor and disaster desk support
Ghana – Yakubu Yakubu, cholera outbreak monitoring
USA - Sylvia Myers - Animals in Disaster team support
SPECIAL EVENT - RIMPAC COMMEMORATIVE COIN - For excellence in support of RIMPAC
Melissa Elliott, Toronto, is being presented with a 2012 RIMPAC commemorative coin. “Operational support during disaster means a commitment to excellence even in the face of adversity and Melissa was a shining example of that during this event. Her contributions to quality assurance for the outputted reports was exemplary and I’m greatly appreciative of her dedication” said Cat Graham
GLOBAL CITIZENS AWARD – Christoph Dennemoser, Team Lead for our Urgent Needs cluster presented Gisli Olaffson with the Global Citizen’s Award at the 2012 ICCM Conference in Washington, DC. “Gisli was honored for his dedication to improving the disaster response chain, his expertise in leadership and innovation, and humanitarian service to the public through contributing his time, skills and expertise in technology, event management, and crisis communications.” Said Christoph, “His work and dedication are improving response and recovery and the use of social media for good.”
GOLD PAW – Cindy Becker, Team Lead for our Animals in Disaster team honored Sylvia Myers with the Gold Paw Pin in appreciation for her contributions and volunteerism in support of our Animals in Disaster program. Thank you for your humanitarian service to the public and animals affected or at risk for disaster. Thank you for your dedication to improving response and recovery and the use of social media for good.
In 2012 volunteers responded to over 300 events and put in an estimated 31,000 service hours for disaster response, disaster preparedness and process improvement. Volunteers will be receiving certificates of appreciation for their volunteer hours. We would like to express our deepest appreciation for all volunteers around the world who contribute their time and expertise, you are global humanitarians.
In recognition of National Volunteer Week we are
highlighting some stories about individuals who made a difference in
the lives of those impacted by disaster. Today we spotlight the winner of the President's Choice Award - Catherine Graham.
President’s Choice - Honor Award. This volunteer recognition medal is awarded to the volunteer selected by the President for leadership and team work. This volunteer excels in self-directed performance during disaster and throughout the year. The High Paw can be awarded in any of the disaster response clusters and represents outstanding performance in one or more disasters.
Cat responded to almost half of all emerging events in 2012 and deployed in person to Rockaway where she led the development and coordination of communications within a spontaneous community command center. She has provided outstanding leadership to the volunteers of Humanity Road as well as direct support for people impacted by disaster.
In a single week at the end of October, Cat organized the Humanity Road online response activities for Hurricane Sandy along the Caribbean and Atlantic Eastern seaboard, collaborated with Maryland State emergency management officials for some crowd sourcing in Maryland, facilitated the rescue of of dozens of people stranded in rapidly rising flood waters in the Dominican Republic and then deployed a physical response team to Rockaway New York where she remained to support the local operation for several weeks. She is shown in the photo above with local volunteers Simon MacLean and Janice Dean meeting with Maryanne Schretzman from the New York City Mayor's office. The local response was featured in this independent film.
A note from a couple in New Jersey; “Cat has been working so hard for me and my husband as well as giving us guidance. I cannot express our appreciation enough for her. She has been like the only flower blooming within a dry desert. If all your workers are like Cat it must be an amazing place. Thank you for giving her to us and God bless all of you.”That would be quite enough to earn recognition, but above and beyond that - In 2012, Cat spent more than 2 full months on the road in support of Humanity Road programs. She participated in exercises from a tent in the woods of Massachusetts, a tent in the desert of California, and another tent on an island in Honolulu bay. She represented our organization in conducting presentations, training and exercises in Cambodia, Singapore, Hawaii, California, Massachusetts, Washington DC, New York and Florida. Among the exercises she participated in, she led the world’s largest crisis mapping exercise during the first ever humanitarian exercise for RIMPAC and participated in a 22 nation table top communications exercise for the Pacific Endeavor Workshop Multinational Communications Interoperability Program in Singapore and then presented an Ignite Talk about this important exercise at the International Crisis Mappers convention in September in Washington DC.
She worked on process improvement initiatives with Rutgers University, Arizona State, Harvard, the Wilson Center, University of Colorado, University of Hawaii, the National Defense University and United States government agencies both civilian and military including the Department of Defense, Army, Navy, Office of Naval Research, FEMA and Health and Human Services.I am honored to present Cat Graham with the 2013 President’s Choice award. Thank you Cat for all you do. - Chris Thompson, President
The recipient of the Mercury award is our responder of the year. This is a volunteer who is quick footed and consistently provides coverage for emerging disasters throughout the year, whether it’s the disaster desk, social media support or administrative support. This individual is selected based on the hours and responses worked during the year
Global Fellowship Award
The Global Fellowship award is chosen by team mates for a volunteer’s contributions during the year. The recipient of this award is selected by the team for team MVP and shines in fellowship and Humanitarian Principles. This is the highest award for Humanity Road, and represents honesty, integrity, community, engagement, collaboration and commitment.
For the first time, a single Humanity Road volunteer has received both the Mercury Award and the Global Fellowship award in the same year.
We are pleased to announce that Cindy Becker has received the Mercury Award for her outstanding active response in 2012. Throughout the year, Cindy responded to 165 events representing more than half of all responses for the year in 2012.
In April Cindy activated the disaster desk in support of #NYFire in the Long Island area. Animals in Disaster team worked an urgent need for horse trailers for evacuation of over 110 horses. In May Cindy responded to 14 events as well as publishing articles articles for the blog including “Happy Mother’s Day”, to all pet Mom’s and “A Pet’s Summer Wish List”, and from the Animals in Disaster Digest “Horses, Hurricanes and Floods”. As well as “Toad Power.
Among the many events throughout the year, Cindy took part in the Great ShakeOut in October 17 and supported our UN OCHA Effort for Typhoon Pablo/Bopha. Also in October and early November she worked tirelessly in support of Hurricane Sandy. She helped develop a cohesive multistate coverage approach during the event for which Humanity Road received much praise. In addition to researching pet-friendly shelters and animal rescue groups for disasters monitored by Humanity Road, Cindy leads the Animals in Disaster (AiD) Team in tweeting animal preparedness information and updating its Facebook page and AiD Digest.
Cindy’s team mates have also recognized her with the Global Fellowship Award. As team lead for Animals in Disaster, Cindy supports a group of volunteers who respond to emerging events with a focus of helping animal owners find critical information about how to prepare and shelter their livestock and pets during disaster. Her support in helping her fellow volunteers respond to both people and animals in disaster in 2012 earned her this recognition.
passionate about HR's work and has spent many late nights monitoring disasters.
She was a great help to me when I first began volunteering for HR and the AiD
team. During Hurricane Sandy, she put in many long hours monitoring and
researching information for both people and animals, and she was an
indispensable part of the team.” - Aline Carr
On Memorial Day in 2012 Cindy wrote a tribute to salute
animals who serve. Her words are quite
fitting today to honor her - “Cindy you act with
remarkable loyalty, faith, courage, and strength and we are in awe of your
valiant spirit of giving”.
Da Vinci Award
Significant and noteworthy service or product contribution, this medal is awarded to a Patron or contributor who has added significant value in support of Humanity Road programs. Through donations in kind or contributions they have helped mold shape and support the organization. Award recipients of the Da Vinci Medal are chosen by the Humanity Road Board of Directors. Because of a unique and innovative joint response, this year, for the first time, the Da Vinci Award is being presented to two organizations for their joint response in support of Humanity Road for Super Storm Sandy. We are very pleased to announce both Disaster Tech Lab and ITDRC – as recipients of the 2013 Humanity Road Da Vinci Award.
Disaster Tech Labs (Evert Bopp)
Humanity Road contacted Evert Bopp of Disaster Tech Labs in Ireland on Sunday afternoon November 4th. His team was on the ground in Rockaway on Monday afternoon. Throughout the following weeks, Disaster Tech Labs provided site support for the installation of the signal to St. Francis De Sales Church and School. But this is just a small part of their overall deployment.
The team provided signal assessment across the Rockaway Peninsula and also provided crowd sourced information on availability of communications in the area. Disaster Tech Labs worked closely with ITDRC during the deployment of communications services and equipment in Rockaway.
ITDRC (Joe Hillis)
The Information Technology Disaster Resource Center (ITDRC) was founded in 2009 to provide communities with the necessary resources to protect and recover their technology infrastructure from disaster. For Super Storm Sandy, their deployment activities in New York included locations in Coney Island, Staten Island, Red Hook (Brooklyn), Point Breeze, Breezy Point, and the Rockaway peninsula.
Twenty Six (26) ITDRC technology volunteers, augmented by a host of strategic partners and nearly a thousand local tech volunteers mobilized to provide temporary communications, resources, and technology assistance to communities, NGOs, and small businesses. Technology teams installed computers, networks, WiFi infrastructure, and Internet based telephones in fire stations along the Rockaway peninsula, and in community Disaster Response Centers (DRC) throughout the region. ITDRC strategic partner ViaSat donated and installed satellite Internet connections for many of the sites, providing critical communications in the absence of commercial public networks.
The ITDRC team was highly responsive in providing the equipment and signal needed to facilitate the ability for the local community to communicate online and through VOIP technology. Joe Hillis also represents ITDRC as a member of the FEMA Innovation team.
Volunteers Receive Volunteer Service AwardIn recognition of National Volunteer Week we are highlighting some stories about individual volunteers who volunteer to help others in need as part of their daily lives. Today we highlight the service provided by three volunteers who have earned the President’s Volunteer Service Award for their volunteer service with Humanity Road.
RQ Skye supported Humanity Road in 2012 on a daily basis in twitter. She’s fast, effective and focused. Among others, she responded to the Japan 7.0 Tsunami warnings, severe weather monitoring for tornado and blizzards, supported both RIMPAC and Pacific Endeavor exercises, Hurricanes Isaac, Bolaven and Sandy, Highpark Fire, Springer Fire and Waldon Canyon Fire. In total, she contributed over 500 hours of volunteer service in 2012 for Humanity Road and earned the Gold Presidential Volunteer Service Award.
Bettie has been a volunteer with Humanity Road since its founding in 2010 and is very active in responding to disasters. She responded to more than 90 emerging events in 2012. She has provided support for monitoring social media, testing new technology and has represented Humanity Road at the SmileCon conference in Richmond and at meetings with Virginia VOAD. Among others, she activated for Hurricane Isaac, Tropical Storm Debbie and Hurricane Sandy. In recognition of more than 750 hours of volunteer service has earned the Gold Presidential Service Award.
Aline joined us September of 2012 and quickly became a very active volunteer. In addition to providing support for disaster response online, she is also a team lead for volunteer engagement, helping new volunteers get oriented, and is co-team leader for the Animals in Disaster team. Among her responses are numerous earthquakes, several man made disasters, and Hurricanes Rafael, Paul, Pablo, Evan, and Sandy where she provided both social media and crisis mapping support. In recognition of her volunteer hours in 2012, Aline has received the Silver Presidential Service Award
In 2011, Humanity Road, announced it has teamed with the White House to
become a Certifying Organization for the President’s Volunteer Service
Award, a national program recognizing those who have demonstrated a
sustained commitment to volunteer service. Through their demonstrated
commitment and example, volunteers inspire others to engage in
volunteer service. Recognizing
and honoring volunteers sets a standard for service, encourages a
sustained commitment to civic participation and inspires other
service a central part of their lives. The Presidential Service
Medals are awarded by hours of service for the calendar year.
America has a long and proud tradition of volunteer service. Now, more than ever, volunteers are renewing their commitment to help others and making new connections that bring us closer together as families, as neighbors, as communities and as a nation.
The President’s Council on Service and Civic Participation (the Council) was established in 2003 to recognize the valuable contributions volunteers are making in our communities and encourage more people to serve. The Council created the President’s Volunteer Service Award program as a way to thank and honor Americans who, by their demonstrated commitment and example, inspire others to engage in volunteer service. The program continues as an initiative of the Corporation for National and Community Service (CNCS).
Recognizing and honoring volunteers sets a standard for service, encourages a sustained commitment to civic participation and inspires other to make service a central part of their lives.
The President’s Volunteer Service Award recognizes United States citizens and lawfully admitted permanent residents of the United States who have achieved the required number of hours of service over a 12-month time period – or cumulative hours over the course of a lifetime.
It’s Our B’Earthday!
2013 marks our third year anniversary here at Humanity Road and to celebrate, on Saturday April 20th we had virtual cake and recognized the outstanding contributions of our volunteers. It is no mistake that we celebrate our organizational birthday on Earth Day. Our volunteers hail from countries all over the world and monitor emerging disaster every day globally. We are very grateful for the many hours they provided in support of the public impacted by emerging disaster in 2012.
2012 Event Summary
Volunteers responded to 312 emerging events in 2012, doubling our response of 147 in 2011. Earthquakes, severe weather and public safety events comprised more than 70% of our responses. Among major responses was Super Storm Sandy. Also, as a member of the Digital Humanitarian Network (DHN) and on behalf of the United Nations Office for Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UNOCHA), we provided media monitoring support for Hurricane Bopha in the Philippines and on behalf of Samoa for Typhoon Evan. These are just a few of the many event responses in 2012.
National Volunteer Week
We are very pleased to recognize volunteers for their outstanding contributions and some amazing individual stories of support for 2012. This year in recognition of National Volunteer Week and to honor these extraordinary people, we will be publishing one story a day.
Finding sense in a tweet storm is sometimes like trying to hold back the storm itself. The magnitude of the data that emerges in social media is only equal to the number of questions asked about information needs, situational information and the integrity of that information.
Accurate analysis of data using standardized statistical methods in scientific studies is critical to determining the validity of empirical research [source]. But in the emerging paradigm of the use of social media during disaster, there is little in terms of documented good practices for data collection and analysis. What facts can be derived from the data? Is the data ‘good’ enough to analyze? What types of questions or statistics can be applied in a manner that would allow ongoing empirical research for future events against past events.
Researchers are only beginning to explore these questions. There is much more work to be done.
But today, we are very pleased to release the report Analysis of Twitter Data during Hurricane Sandy. The report provides a unique snapshot about the tweets emerging in the initial days just before and after the storm made landfall in New York. This study was a focus as much on how data should be handled during collection in order to preserve data integrity.
One of the most interesting statistics we found was that the top 4 publishing modes accounted for 80% of the geocoded tweets; the top 8 account for 90% of tweets. These should be kept in mind when considering any type of device-specific content program. Another statistic showed a drop in geocoded information, this did not come as a surprise but it was useful to see it charted. The tweet traffic remained the same but the actual geocoded information dropped by half, which could have been in part, attributed to users turning off their GPS signals to extend battery life. What we did confirm was that partnering with Statistics without Borders in future events is a wise move. Statistics without Borders volunteers responsiveness and willingness to study and return the results on the data was great. They are one of our partners in the Digital Humanitarian Network and we look forward to working with them on the next event. Also, special gratitude to Joanna Lane from NY VOST who provided expertise and guidance and direction for this report and Cathy Furlong for putting together such a great team.
Special thanks to the following for contributing their time and dialogue to the preparation of this report
Team selection Cathy Furlong, Statistics without Borders
GIS and heat map results Paige Stover, Statistics without Borders
Network Relationships Joshua Saxe, Statistics without Borders
Analytics & data considerations by Tim B. Gravelle, Statistics without Borders
Additional guidance and recommendations by Joanna Lane, NY VOST
TweetTracker developed by Shamanth Kumar, Fred Morstatter and Dr. Huan Liu Arizona State University DMML Lab under a grant from the Office of Naval Research
Storm surge data acquired from AccuWeather
Its Game Time!
Join us this week and pledge to be a force of Nature. March 3, begins National Severe Weather Preparedness Week across the USA. As a committed leader for weather readiness Humanity Road is hosting daily game challenges to spread the word.
Severe weather happens here on earth but also in space. Below are some great resources for teachers, homeschoolers and parents to share with their children. We have also put together a series of resource links that we will be releasing each day.
Each day we are focusing on different severe weather challenges Join us in sharing, caring and chasing the fears away from our smallest and most treasured resource - Children For the bigger kids, Each Day we'll be releasing fun disaster preparedness games to test your knowledge and your skill! Compete for Highest Game score and let us know how you're doing, convince us to send you a Humanity Road Tshirt and why!
We ask all volunteers to take a Pledge and Take Action : Be Force of Nature by taking the Pledge to Prepare at ready.gov/severe - weather. When you pledge to prepare, you will take the first step to making sure that you and your family are prepared for severe weather. This includes filling out your family communications plan that you can email to yourself, putting an emergency kit together, keeping important papers and valuables in a safe place, and getting involved .
Children & Youth
Teen & High School
Understanding Solar Storms
Did you know outer space has weather too? Learn about space weather scales, solar flares and coronal mass ejections. http://1.usa.gov/VVqGkq
A primer on Space Weather http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/primer/primer.html
Introducción al Clima Espacial http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/primer/primer_in_spanish.html
Space #Wx Storms from the sun & Solar Storm Forecasting 6 min Video http://bit.ly/XxndIk
Game on Dude! – Games & Interactive
Solar Game https://spark.ucar.edu/sun-space-weather-memory-game-new (SWF required)
Disaster Game : http://www.stopdisastersgame.org/en/home.html
Wild Weather Game from NASA http://spaceplace.nasa.gov/wild-weather-adventure/
Predict the Weather Grades 4 – 9 Teacher guide and Game
Create A Cane Game http://1.usa.gov/14e2jyO
NASA The sun emitted a significant solar flare on Oct. 22, 2012, peaking at 11:17 p.m. EDT. The flare came from an active region on the left side of the sun that has been numbered AR 1598, which has already been the source of a number of weaker flares. This flare was classified as an X1.8-class flare.
Solarwatcher: An Impulsive X1.8 Solar Flare was reported at 03:18 UT Today, from active region 11598. The flare produced a short lasting R3 Level Radio Blackout and 10cm Radio Burst. No Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) has been observed at the time of making this video, updates will follow
October 1, 2012
Solarwatcher: The Sep 28th Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) impacted Earth's magnetic field at 22:20UTC last night sparking strong Geomagnetic storms at high latitudes today. A weak interplanetary shock wave hit Earth at 10:20 UT followed by a stronger CME strike at approximately 22:20 UT. Earth's magnetic field is still reverberating in response to these impacts
NOAA Space Weather G3 Storm currently in progress, Strong Auroras expected. Voltage corrections may be required, false alarms triggered on some protection devices. Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) and low-frequency radio navigation problems may occur, HF radio may be intermittent, and aurora has been seen as low as Illinois and Oregon.
July 19, 2012
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center Update:
2012-07-19 13:56 UTC Last Hurrah? Region 1520, now past west limb, continues to erupt. It produced an R2 (moderate) Radio Blackout and a CME earlier today. Although not clearly earth-directed, forecasters are analyzing it for tangential effects on the geomagnetic field. An S1 (minor) Solar Radiation Storm soon followed the eruption. Updates here.
July 15, 2012
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center Update:
2012-07-15 11:12 UTC Geomagnetic Storm Underway
G2 (Moderate) Geomagnetic Storm activity is now occurring as a result of the ongoing coronal mass ejection effects. No further significant activity has occurred, and while Region 1520 has become less of a threat, it still has the potential for further activity. Stay tuned for updates.
July 13, 2012
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center update: July 13, 2012.
Video by Will von Dauster and Katy Human, NOAA.
Also see http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6hJEvRbyk1Y (Some of the Science behind NOAA's Space Weather Forecast)
NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center in Boulder, Colo. is the nation's official source of alerts, watches and warnings about space weather and its impacts.
The current forecast is for a "mild to moderate" geomagnetic storm to hit tomorrow morning, July 14. This geomagnetic storm could last into Sunday. (NOTE: there could be stronger geomagnetic storming conditions at specific regions in higher latitudes.)
Stronger geomagnetic storms can affect power systems, precision navigation, communications and other advanced technologies. The current event is unlikely to trigger any significant impacts.
If nighttime viewing conditions are clear, aurora could be visible Sat or Sunday nights from lower-latitude areas than usual, possibly as far south as the northern states of Maine and Minnesota, but more likely into Canada.
Solarwatcher Major X1.4 Solar Flare and Earth Directed CME
Active Region 11520 unleashed a Major X1.4 at 16:47 UTC July 12th. Associated with this blast was a Strong R3 Radio Blackout/Fade Out over Central America. As this active region was earth-facing a very strong Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is now Earth-Bound with impact projected late July 14-Early July 15th where strong Geomagnetic storms will be possible.
July 12 2012
NOAA Space Weather 2012-07-12 19:31 UTC Solar Eruption Today -- Further Analysis. The R3 (Strong) Radio Blackout today at 12:49 EDT (1649 UTC) was accompanied by an earth-directed CME. Hampered by limited observations of the event, SWPC forecasters are now anticipating the passage of the CME around 1:00 a.m. EDT, Saturday, July 14. G1 (minor) Geomagnetic Storm activity is expected to then ensue through the rest of the day. An S1 (minor) Solar Radiation Storm is now occurring, also a consequence of the flare/CME. The parent active region, NOAA 1520, appears to have retained its ability to erupt, so watch for more.
Solarwatcher.net Major X1.4 Solar Flare and CME
Active Region 11520 just unleashed a major and long duration eruption reaching X1.4 at 16:52 UTC Today. Associated with this blast was a Strong R3 Radio Blackout over central America. A Coronal Mass Ejection(CME) watch is now in affect as this eruption was in an earth-facing position.
July 6, 2012
NOAA Space Weather 012-07-07 13:17 UTC R3 (Strong) Radio Blackout - Solar Radiation Storm in Decline. Region 1515 produced an impulsive R3 (Strong) solar flare radio blackout at 2308 UTC (7:08 PM EDT) on July 6. Initial analysis indicates the coronal mass ejection (CME) associated with this event is not headed directly at Earth. A high-confidence WSA-Enlil model run is being done to refine that estimate. Solar Radiation Storm levels did exceed the S1 (Minor) threshold but appear to be in decline at this time. Additionally, G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is possible through July 8 as a string of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) observed earlier in the week make their way past Earth. Stay tuned for updates.
Solarwatcher.net Monster Sunspot 1151 just unleashed a Major X1.1 Solar Flare at 23:08 UTC July 6th. After a constant barrage of M-Class solar flares this huge active region finally produced an X-Class event. Associated with this blast is a 10cm Radio Burst,Type IV Sweep Frequency Event and a proton event is now in progress
July 5, 2012
NOAA Space Weather Elevated solar flare activity continues at this time with levels reaching the R2 (Moderate) level over the past 24 hours. R2 potential conditions via NOAA.
HF Radio: Limited blackout of HF radio communication on sunlit side, loss of radio contact for tens of minutes.Solarwatcher: Monster Sunspot 1515 continues to unleash impulsive M-Class solar flares. the last 24 hours 12 M-Class flare eruption have been reported. Active Region 11513 produced an M 1.8 flare at 16:39 UTC and the resulting eruption has sent a coronal mass ejection headed earths way with ETA early July 8th.
Navigation: Degradation of low-frequency navigation signals for tens of minutes.
Jul 3, 2012
We're currently in R1 radio blackout and increased risk for Geomag storm due to recent solar activity. http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ Solarwatcher: Active Region 11515 continues its barrage by produced two more M Class Flares. A strong M3.8 at 20:07 UTC and M2.0 at 23:56 UTC yesterday. At least two coronal mass ejections (CME's) have been observed following these eruptions, and are likely to be headed earths way as this sunspot erupted in an earth facing position. Impacts are expected late July 4 into July 5 where strong Geomagnetic Storms may result
May 12, 2012
Solarwatcher A magnetic filament which was in an earth facing position has become unstable and lifted off the solar corona. The resulting eruption produced a Full Halo Coronal Mass Ejection headed earths way. Although its too early to tell but it does appear that the CME will impact the earth sometime May 15. Meanwhile Active Region 11476 is starting to show signs of decay in the rear trailer spots but might get its act together to produce some strong flares just before it rotates off the disk in 3-4 days.
May 10, 2012
Solarwatcher A strong impulsive solar flare peaking to M5.7 by Active Region 11476 at 04:18 UTC May 10th. This event also generated a 10cm Radio Burst (TenFlare). This is the 4th M-Class flare in 24 hours from this growing region(now 1050 Millionths). No visible Coronal Mass Ejection(CME) was observed following this eruption.
April 24, 2012
Solarwatcher SUNDIVING COMET: A Sun-Diving was caught on the Soho satellite feed April 23rd, shortly after the comet's death plunge a large Halo coronal mass ejection (CME) was observed and appears to have earth directed components. Impact on the earths magnetic field is expected sometime April 27th.
March 12, 2012
solarwatcher: A powerful Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) released off the sun April 9th indicate a potential for a significant event felt here on earth in 9-12 days. A significant volcanic eruption, Major Tornado swarms or outbreak in North America or out of season Typhoon/Tropical Cyclone in the western pacific/Indian ocean region is possible from this energetic event. Time frame April 21-24
NOAA: G1 Storm in Progress http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Solarwatcher A spectacular Filament Eruption (Prominence) ripped off the lower southeast quadrant of the sun today and a large Coronal Mass Ejection followed but is not heading for the earth.
CME IMPACT from a coronal mass ejection released from the sun march 10th has slammed into the earths magnetosphere causing a sharp shock to the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF). A Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse peaking to 96 nT was detected. Solar winds jumped from 400km/s to almost 600km/s on the impact. A G2 class Geomagnetic storm is possible in the next 1-2 hours.
*Update G2 Geomagnetic Storm is in progress*
March 7, 2012
X5.4 Flare + Earth Directed CME
The second strongest solar flare of Solar Cycle 24 and the Second X-Flare from Active Region 11429, after further investigation there may have been a double X Flare as another spike was registered shortly after the initial X 5.4 event with a possible X 1.3 registered. This major event measured X 5.4 at 00:24 UTC and triggered a strong R3 Level Radio Blackout. A coronal mass ejection was captured shortly after and is likely to be headed earths way. more information shortly.
The expected CME from March 4 has impacted the earths magnetic field moments ago, causing the Bz component of the IMP to deviate sharply southward to - 20 nT. Geomagnetic storm should result. A strong Proton event is now in progress.
February 27, 2012
Solarwatcher CME IMPACT: A CME hit Earth's magnetic field on Feb. 26th at 2050 UT. Although the impact was weak, a solar wind increase to 530 km/s was observed by the ACE Spacecraft. A secondary impact on the earths magnetic-field late Feb 27th did produce a minor G1 Geomagnetic Storm at high latitudes.
February 24, 2012
Spaceweather.com Solar Tsunami. CANYON OF FIRE: A magnetic filament snaking over the sun's northeastern limb rose up and erupted during the early hours of Feb. 24th. The eruption split the sun's atmosphere creating a "canyon of fire," shown here in a movie captured by the Solar Dynamics Observatory.
Solarwatcher A Huge Magnetic Filament has lifted off the solar corona producing a spectacular eruption. This disturbance has an associated solar tsunami (Hyder Flare). Shortly after a significant halo coronal mass ejection (CME) was observed and it appears will have components heading earth's way as the eruption was in an earth facing position with the majority of the mass heading east of the Earth, however this still may deliver a glancing blow to the earth on Feb 27th.
February 6, 2012
Spaceweather.com After a quiet weekend with no flares of any significance, the sun went back to work on Monday morning and launched a bright coronal mass ejection (CME) into space. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory recorded the expanding cloud during the early hours of Feb. 6th.
Solarwatcher A Huge Magnetic Filament has lifted off the solar corona, This disturbance has an associated solar tsunami (Hyder Flare). Shortly after a significant halo coronal mass ejection (CME) was observed and it appears will have components heading earth's way as the filament was in an earth facing position with the majority of the mass heading slightly above or northerly, however this still may deliver a glancing blow to the earth Feb 9.
January 27, 2012
Solarwatcher: X2 Class Flare Major X 2 Class Solar Flare & S2 Radiation Storm Active Region 11402 located on the northwestern limb, unleashed a major X1.7 solar flare today. S2 level Radiation Storm threshold has been exceeded, R3 Level Radio Blackout, 100 MeV proton spike is in progress and a 10cm Radio Burst (TenFlare) was reported. Immediately after this flare a Full Halo coronal mass ejection (CME) was observed and components may brush the earths magnetic field Jan 30th.
January 24, 2012 NASA Earth Observatory
On January 23rd, a high-latitude solar flare was measured as M8.7 in intensity, just below the most intense “X class” of flares. The eruption sent a stream of fast-moving, highly energetic protons toward Earth, provoking the most intense solar energetic particle storm—an S3 on NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center’s scale—since 2005.
The storm has the potential to disrupt some communications and satellite systems and to bring auroras to high-latitude skies.
The flare was accompanied by a coronal mass ejection (CME), a cloud of solar plasma that was ejected from the solar atmosphere in the direction of Earth. The CME was observed by the STEREO and SOHO spacecraft with an initial speed of more than 2,000 kilometers (1,400 miles) per second. It was estimated to reach Earth sometime on January 24 and Mars on January 25. NOAA forecasters were predicting a G2 geomagnetic storm, though a G3 was possible.
January 17, 2012 NOAA - we're currently in an R1 radio blackout in some areas. Spaceweather: Finland Auroras are already showing, as earth is expected to have a glancing blow from a coronal mass ejection as you can see in this SDO movie The same analysis shows that the CME might deliver a glancing blow to Earth's magnetic field around 1200 UT on Jan. 19th. The impact could cause geomagnetic activity and auroras around the Arctic Circle.
Solarwatcher: New video on the CME, activity will increase up to and including Jan 20.
December 29, 2011
Solarwatcher Strong CME impact was detected by the ACE Spacecraft Thursday morning. A possible geomagnetic storm may be in progress.
December 26, 2011
Solarwatcher M4 Flare caused a CME which appears to be headed earths way. May send wind speeds to >600. Tropical cyclone potential between 2 – 4 in the coming days, geomagnetic impacts, late Dec 28 to early Dec 29. Two significant coronal hole formations may impact the earth in the form of potential significant EQ in the coming days in southern hemisphere.
Spaceweather.com/ The CME is expected to deliver a glancing blow to Earth's magnetic field on Dec. 28th at 1200 UT and a direct hit to the planet Mars on Dec. 30th at 1800 UT. Using onboard radiation sensors, NASA's Curiosity rover might be able to sense the CME when it passes the rover's spacecraft en route to Mars. Here on Earth, NOAA forecasters estimate a 30-to-40% chance of geomagnetic storms on Dec. 28th when the CME and an incoming solar wind stream could arrive in quick succession. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras on Wednesday night
NOAA: Past 24 hours R1 has occurred (HF Radio: Weak or minor degradation of HF radio communication on sunlit side, occasional loss of radio contact. Navigation: Low-frequency navigation signals degraded for brief intervals where it will most likely be destroyed in a spectacular light show on Dec. 15/16 (not visible by naked eye). Geminid meteor shower peaks on Dec. 13th and 14th. A solar wind stream is buffeting Earth's magnetic field, causing mild geomagnetic disturbances and auroras around the Arctic Circle
November 29, 2011
Solarwatcher CME Impact: At 21:30 UTC, the ACE Spacecraft detected a sudden burst of Solar Winds Increasing levels from 380 km/s to near 550 km/s. This indicated the arrival of the Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) sweeping past the spacecraft. A sudden impulse measuring 45nT was detected at 21:55 UTC. The K-Index did increase somewhat, however it did not reach geomagnetic storm status (Kp=4). Minor activity will be possible at very high latitudes. Activity forecasted for first days of December.
November 27, 2011
Solarwatcher Full Halo CME / S1 Minor Radiation Storm:
At 07:00 UT, a magnetic filament exploded in the northwest quadrant of the solar corona, causing a powerful Coronal Mass Ejection. Analysis of the Lasco C2 and in the latest STEREO Ahead/Behind COR2 images, it does appear that most of the explosion was directed away from Earth. A glancing blow may be possible in 48 hours. The proton levels reached the S1 Minor Radiation Storm threshold and slowly subsiding. (source)
NOAA: We're currently in an S1 storm (source) levels should return to normal soon.
Spaceweather: The impact of the cloud could trigger a geomagnetic storm. Indeed, NOAA forecasters estimate a 58% chance of severe storming around the poles when the CME arrives. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras after nightfall on Monday. Aurora alerts: text, phone
November 23, 2011
Solarwatcher: Suspected G2 level storm (review video) - A sharp jolt on Earth's magnetosphere at 07.44 UTC yesterday appears to have been caused by a Halo coronal mass ejection released from the solar corona back on November 20th. Solar activity remains low with the largest flare in the past 24 hours being a C4.9 from active region 1134
Spaceweather: CHANCE OF FLARES: Earth-facing sunspot 1356 has developed a "beta-gamma" magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class solar flares. NOAA forecasters estimate a 30% chance of such an eruption during the next 24 hours. Solar flare alerts: text, phone. Northern Lights were visible in the past 24 hours prompted by small magnetic fluctuations in the solar wind.
November 10, 2011 via Solarwatcher
Huge Filament Eruption & M1.1 Solar Flare
A magnetic filament eruption that was detected as an M1.1 solar flare took place at 13:35 UTC Wednesday morning between active regions 11342 and 11342. A powerful Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) ensued and components may be Earth Directed where impact is expected November 13th.
Educational Video: NASA Guide to Solar Flares
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